03/09/2026
Do NOT sleep naked! ⚡️🫣
🚨 SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT with storms capable of producing TORNADOES 🌪️ (some may be STRONG – up to EF2), Very Large Hail🧊 (over 2 inches possible), and Damaging Winds💨.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected Tuesday from the Southern Plains into the Southern Great Lakes region, with ALL severe hazards possible. A bi-modal severe weather setup is expected, with two primary corridors of concern across the Midwest and central Texas.
➡️MIDWEST (Primary Tornado Corridor)
The greatest regional severe threat will likely focus along a frontal boundary from northern Missouri into Illinois and portions of Kansas Tuesday afternoon and evening. Storms developing near the warm front may become discrete supercells capable of producing TORNADOES — including STRONG tornadoes 🌪️ (up to EF2).
Large to VERY LARGE HAIL 🧊 (possibly exceeding 2 inches) will also be possible with stronger storms. As the evening progresses, storms may begin to cluster or grow into lines, increasing the DAMAGING WIND THREAT 💨.
⚠️ The greatest tornado potential currently appears to be along the warm front across central Illinois between approximately 3 PM and 8 PM CST.
➡️CENTRAL TEXAS / SOUTHERN PLAINS
Storms may begin developing late Tuesday morning into early afternoon from north Texas toward the Texarkana region where capping may be weaker. By late afternoon and evening, more widespread thunderstorm development is expected across central Texas.
Initial discrete supercells may produce VERY LARGE HAIL 🧊 (around 2+ inches) and possibly a couple of tornadoes 🌪️. As stronger forcing arrives during the evening, storms may grow into clusters or bowing segments, bringing a higher threat for DAMAGING WINDS 💨, with the potential for embedded circulations as the low-level jet strengthens overnight.
⏱️ TIMING
• Late Morning: Isolated storms possible across north Texas / Texarkana region
• Afternoon into Evening: Supercell potential increases across central Texas and the Midwest frontal zone
• Evening into Overnight: Storms may grow into clusters or lines, increasing the damaging wind threat
⚠️ BOTTOM LINE: A bi-modal severe weather event appears possible Tuesday, with the highest tornado threat across the Midwest warm-front corridor, while central Texas may see supercells capable of producing very large hail and damaging winds.
⚠️ Have a plan in place Tuesday afternoon and evening. DO NOT SLEEP NAKED. 🌪️