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10/06/2026

Could we see our first hurricane of the year?

A new area of investigation is taking shape in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, where the National Hurricane Center has outlined Invest 92-L near the Bay of Cam

09/04/2026

Interesting. We might be witnessing history for the latest 1st Hurricane to form in the Atlantic (if we even get one that is). The latest on record both formed on September 11th. Gustav in 2002 and Humberto in 2013. El Nino is contributing yes. But ironically 2013 wasn't El Nino. Forecast looking like this will verify. We will sea. www.spaghettimodels.com

08/27/2026

: Tropical Storm has formed in the Atlantic, 4th named storm of the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season. It's currently forecast to be short-lived. Here's the latest and what to know:

1) Dolly was able to develop from a small window of favorable conditions, but it looks like that will quickly be coming to an end Friday into the weekend as it encounters drier air and increasing wind shear. More shear and dry air the better…it hurts tropical systems! The official NHC (National Hurricane Center) forecast calls for this to move into the Caribbean and then dissapate / fall apart after.

2) Over the past several days, I’ve been discussing two track possibilities from the models. Scenario #1 quickly develops a stronger system and has it turning north out to sea. Scenario #2 is a system that either struggles after developing, or never actually develops, and heads more west as a result. Recently, almost all models have been leaning toward the western track, Scenario #2.

3) The more west it goes, land enters into the mix. First up will be the Caribbean. Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico by Sunday into Monday. Hispaniola by Monday into Tuesday. Then after the Bahamas? Cuba? The United States? All possibilities, but what will it be at that point? Even if it develops and then falls apart, some models indicate the leftovers could try to reorganize over warmer water, greater tropical moisture and lower shear. Not a guarantee, but possible down the road. Best-case scenario is an undeveloped rainmaker.

4)Thankfully, this is nothing to stress over this early, just putting it on your radar and keeping tabs on it.

I'll continue to keep you updated 24/7 with no hype, just the facts. Thanks everyone!

08/27/2026

TROPICS | In the 8 AM update the NHC has increased the chance of development in the system in the Atlantic to 90%. Advisories are possible later today. This system is still not a major threat or a concern as it will run into a lot of shear before it gets to the islands.

08/25/2026

TROPICAL UPDATE: We now have Invest 96L (Red area) and Invest 95L (Orange area) in the Atlantic. Odds have increased to 70% for the Red Area to form. Next name is . Here's the latest and what to know:

Invest 96L: Over the next 3 days, conditions appear favorable for better organization. By Day 4 and 5, it may encounter dry air and some shear, which would slow or even halt strengthening. If it can successfully battle those elements, there’s the potential for better ingredients down the road again in the long range (Days 7+). The majority of models are currently showing a turn to the north away from the United States and out to sea. The American and European models support the idea, however, Google brings the system closer to the Bahamas and even the United States. Remember that these tracks are not a guarantee, considering it hasn’t even formed yet. Can’t stress that enough. Model changes are always possible, especially this early. We’ll look for model consistency after it tries to form a center.

Invest 95L: No threat to the United States. Odds have lowered to 40%. Only impacts would be to eastern Canada, specifically Newfoundland, by tonight into early Wednesday with fast-moving rain and some breezy weather. Nothing significant or out of the ordinary.

I'll continue to keep you updated 24/7 with no hype, just the facts. Thanks everyone!

- Matt Devitt Weather

08/24/2026

7 p.m. Sunday, August 23, 2026
34 years ago tonight, Category 5 Hurricane 🌀 Andrew was bearing down on Southeast Florida. After Andrew, building codes would be changed forever. Were you living in Southeast Florida? Did you experience it?