06/08/2025
A Moderate Risk (level 4/5) covers the eastern Texas Panhandle, southern Oklahoma, and northwest to north-central Texas—including North Texas.
💨 Primary Hazards
Destructive wind gusts: 80–100 mph expected, especially across the moderate-risk zone .
Giant hail: Up to 3–5 inches in diameter anticipated .
Tornadoes: A few possible, primarily supercell-based, early in the day .
⸻
📊 Outlook Probabilities
Tornado: 5%
Hail: 30%
Wind: 45% Not everyone wil see most intense wind
⸻
🌪️ Timing & Evolution
Afternoon → Evening: Supercells likely to form along the dryline and cold front in the Texas Panhandle & southern Oklahoma .
Evening → Overnight: These storms are expected to merge into a strong, fast-moving line (MCS/bow echo) across North Texas & southern Oklahoma, enhancing the risk of widespread damaging winds .
🔑 Summary
Moderate Risk level highlights significant severe potential.
80–100 mph wind gusts and golf-ball to DVD-sized hail are the main threats.
Embedded supercells may bring a few tornadoes early on.
Ongoing line of storms overnight could sustain the severe threat beyond sunset.
Have multiple ways to receive warnings. WeatherCall with call, text and email when your address is in a warning, alerting to take shelter. See link in comments
Timeframe for North Texas 9pm to 2am!