10/16/2026
Toronto Falls Into Moderate Bubble Risk
As someone who’s been helping people sell, buy, and invest in Canadian real estate for over 16 years, I’ve seen Toronto’s market evolve through many cycles. According to a leading global wealth manager, Toronto now sits in the 'moderate bubble risk' category after the sharpest annual price drop—about 11%—among 23 major cities worldwide. Between 2014 and 2022, we watched real home prices double, driven by population growth, investor energy, and strong construction. But since 2022, higher interest rates, the foreign-buyer ban, and increased supply have combined to push prices down nearly 30% from their peak. This correction has brought prices closer to what more residents can afford. However, the report points to continued price pressure ahead, with rising inventory, slower growth, and the potential for more rate hikes keeping many buyers on the sidelines. Understanding how these shifts impact your buying, selling, or investment decisions is key in this market.